Trump’s leaked tape is the failed campaign’s death knell and the proof is in the polls. The candidate’s outrageously sexist comments have struck a chord with voters that is unlikely to be fade in the next three weeks. Conducted on Saturday, post-leak but pre-debate, an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll has Clinton leading Trump by double-digits. When factoring in Libertarian Gary Johnson, who stands at 9% and Jill Stein, Green Party candidate at 2%, Clinton beat out Trump 46% to his 35%. However, when the poll placed only the two together, Clinton surpassed Trump by 14 percentage points (52% to 38%).
This kind of lead at the polls is what landslides are made of. The poll also indicates that Clinton has captured a 13% lead among all registered voters—this is her greatest lead since September.
Out of the 500 respondents to the poll, 49% say they would prefer a Democratic Congress as opposed to a Republican one (42%); this seven point majority is the greatest lead for the Dem’s since the ’09 government shutdown. Even last month the parties were more evenly matched with a three-point margin (48% wanting Democrat and 45% going Republican.) This additional four-point surge grows the Democratic lead closer to 10% than it has been in a long time.
The tape is likely a key player in how voters are responding to the party they would like to see in office—52% feel the tape should be an issue in the campaign; 42% believe it should not. GOP voters are less affected by the tape, although 9% feel the tape should be the catalyst for other Republicans dropping Trump and an even higher number, 14%, believe the leak should cause Trump to drop out of the race all together. Needless to say, it is not in the GOP’s best interest to have almost 15% of their own party turn on their candidate, less than a month away from the election.
The majority of voters feel Trump’s comments were unacceptable across party lines. If not unacceptable, there is a consensus that what was said was inappropriate; 31% have acknowledged that the remarks were not right, though “typical of how some men talk in private.” However, the majority of respondents, 41%, feel Trump’s language was “completely unacceptable.”
We will see how this plays out in November, but if the polls are any indication, the leak may be the smoking gun that finally takes Trump down.
Christine is an avid supporter of progressive politics. She is currently getting her Masters degree after concentrating in Gender Studies as an undergrad.