Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has spent a lifetime fighting for women’s rights, and its paying dividends at the ballot box as women across America are flocking to early voting places this October in key southern swing states. This is the first major indication that the Republican Party’s brand of misogyny and sexism isn’t resonating with a key block of voters who represent 53% of the overall electorate: women. Politico reports:
In three crucial battlegrounds — North Carolina, Florida and Georgia — women are casting early ballots in disproportionate numbers. And in North Carolina, a must-win state for Trump with detailed early voting data available, it’s clear that Democratic women have been particularly motivated to turn out or turn ballots in. In North Carolina, 87,000 Democratic women have already moved to cast early ballots compared with just 60,000 Republican women, according to data shared with POLITICO by J. Michael Bitzer, an expert on North Carolina’s early vote at Catawba College. Men in the state, meanwhile, are closely divided: 50,000 Republicans and 52,000 Democrats have voted.
At this time in the 2012 general election, Republicans had a commanding lead in Florida absentee ballot submissions, but Democrats have cut that lead by a whopping 65% in this year’s early votes. As Politico’s Marc Caputo reported about the first million or so votes cast in his daily Florida Playbook early yesterday:
The state reported more than 989,101 Floridians had cast absentee ballots, with Republicans accounting for 414,000 (41.9%) and Democrats 395,000 (40%) of the votes made so far. Compare the GOP’s 1.9-point margin to its 5.5-point margin during the same period in 2012, 18 days before Election Day. At this point in 2012, about 620,000 had cast absentee ballots, with the GOP accounting for almost 45% and the Democrats almost 40% of the votes.
After in-person early voting starts Monday, the Democrats should soon start to overtake the GOP in pre-Election Day ballots cast.
Democrats have poured massive resources into party organization in Florida this year, registering 500,000 new voters to the Florida Republican party’s pallid 50,000 new voters registered. Additionally, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton had 51 campaign offices open in Florida before Labor Day, while Trump had only 1 at the time.
In 2012 Mitt Romney lost the state of Florida by 70,000 votes and had far better poll numbers in October amongst both white voters (supposedly Trump’s base) and amongst women at the end of his losing campaign. Romney wasn’t exactly beloved by women, but his “binders of women” quote seems quaint compared to this year’s Republican nominee whose “grab them by the p***y” remarks sealed the deal in an election where he was already rated unfavorable by 70% of American women in most polls.
Nobody running as the Republican nominee has a path to the presidency without winning Florida.
Democratic women appear to be so determined to elect Hillary Clinton as the first female President of the United States, that it looks like Trump has a shrinking path to win southern states that typically vote Republican like North Carolina and Georgia. If current trends of energized Democratic women voting in outsized numbers continue, Hillary Clinton will win Florida handily and on her way to becoming America’s first female President next January.
Grant Stern is the Executive Editor of Occupy Democrats and published author. His new Meet the Candidates 2020 book series is distributed by Simon and Schuster. He's also mortgage broker, community activist and radio personality in Miami, Florida., as well as the producer of the Dworkin Report podcast. Grant is also an occasional contributor to Raw Story, Alternet, and the DC Report, and a senior advisor to the Democratic Coalition